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| Abstract Title:
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| International Development and Globalization Program
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| Graduate Student Presenter:
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Patrice Howard
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| Name of the Author(s) and Affiliation(s):
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Patrice Howard, Lily Parshall, Solomon Hsaing, Ben Meier, etc.
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Using a storm model fitted to historical data, the distribution of tropical cyclone incidence on
the Caribbean can be reconstructed. This data set can then be used to measure immediate, short-run economic responses occurring in the year-of and years following individual events (picture).
Mean incidence levels can be used to model "tropical cyclone climates" and the adaptive long-run, economic responses of populations (picture). Both the short and long run costs of climatic change must be considered; and in the case of tropical cyclones in the Caribbean, there appear to be ways in which the long run response dominates the short run response by an order of magnitude.
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